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Voting pattern 60-30-10

Earlier within the week, Ateneo math professor Lex Muga noted what made an appearance to become a consistent voting pattern across the nation: throughout the majority of the voting period, Team PNoy candidates were consistently getting 60% from the election rival UNA candidates, 30% and independent candidates, 10% - the now-infamous "60-30-10" voting pattern.

Muga's assertion of the "interesting pattern" has flown across Facebook and fueled accusations of election manipulation, leading the Comelec chairman to announce a probe.

Initially, the amounts do appear counterproductive at best along with a smoking gun at worst: Just how can a supposed democracy, composed of individuals with varied political inclinations and candidate options, yield such uniform results overall?



The issue has triggered a prickly intercontinental debate among academics, with New You University science dean Michael Purugganan disregarding the pattern as simply what we expect when accumulated large sample, and warning other academics against creating conspiracy theories that may come to be urban stories.

Purugganan isn't the first person having a PhD to challenge the conspiracy advocates.

Soon after Muga published his findings, Center for individuals Empowerment in Governance (CenPEG) IT consultant Dr. Pablo Manalastas published a counter-argument on his Facebook page, stating that the pattern should be because of  Law of Large Numbers.

Essentially, which means that a lot of votes counted with time will often average out and follow an expected pattern. Furthermore, Purugganan stated the pattern could be described by statistical analysis and it is likely not caused by fraud.

This post was written by: Tag.PH

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